Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000632 0.000719 0.000812 0.000917 0.001033 0.001157 0.001298
2025-10-05 0.000512 0.000636 0.000776 0.000945 0.001142 0.001364 0.001632
2025-10-12 0.000443 0.000584 0.000751 0.000960 0.001214 0.001509 0.001875
2025-10-19 0.000381 0.000530 0.000713 0.000952 0.001251 0.001610 0.002067
2025-10-26 0.000331 0.000484 0.000679 0.000942 0.001281 0.001697 0.002240
2025-11-02 0.000297 0.000455 0.000662 0.000950 0.001329 0.001806 0.002440
2025-11-09 0.000266 0.000425 0.000641 0.000949 0.001364 0.001897 0.002618
2025-11-16 0.000230 0.000385 0.000602 0.000920 0.001359 0.001934 0.002726
2025-11-23 0.000201 0.000352 0.000571 0.000898 0.001361 0.001977 0.002841
2025-11-30 0.000181 0.000330 0.000553 0.000893 0.001385 0.002050 0.002996
2025-12-07 0.000164 0.000312 0.000537 0.000891 0.001411 0.002126 0.003154
2025-12-14 0.000147 0.000291 0.000517 0.000880 0.001423 0.002180 0.003285
2025-12-21 0.000130 0.000269 0.000494 0.000863 0.001427 0.002225 0.003404
2025-12-28 0.000123 0.000264 0.000497 0.000887 0.001491 0.002356 0.003648
2026-01-04 0.000116 0.000256 0.000495 0.000902 0.001542 0.002469 0.003868
2026-01-11 0.000104 0.000241 0.000480 0.000894 0.001557 0.002531 0.004016
2026-01-18 0.000094 0.000226 0.000464 0.000885 0.001569 0.002587 0.004155
2026-01-25 0.000087 0.000218 0.000458 0.000892 0.001607 0.002682 0.004353
2026-02-01 0.000080 0.000208 0.000448 0.000891 0.001631 0.002756 0.004522
2026-02-08 0.000070 0.000190 0.000424 0.000864 0.001611 0.002763 0.004591
2026-02-15 0.000062 0.000176 0.000404 0.000843 0.001601 0.002784 0.004680
2026-02-22 0.000056 0.000167 0.000394 0.000839 0.001618 0.002846 0.004832
2026-03-01 0.000051 0.000159 0.000385 0.000837 0.001637 0.002914 0.004993